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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics
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To: limtex who wrote (36108)3/2/2002 12:58:18 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) of 99280
 
From March 2000 to March 2001, the economy was expanding at a rate faster than what the expectation for the current recovery is, why did the market go down? According to some people, the recession started in March 2001 (I still disagree on that point with the "standard bearers"), why did we get a powerful 40% plus spring rally thereafter? Why would you then be surprised that a rising economy might be associated with falling stock prices, particularly if those prices are "pricing in" huge profits. Last, some people, including me, believe that we have not yet had the recession (we had a single quarter of negative growth in GDP, the third Q of 2001), and the real recession late this year or early next year, has not been discounted yet by the market.

Zeev
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