Zeev's Turnips - No Politics Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Ibexx who wrote (36086)	3/2/2002 4:20:13 PM
From: 16yearcycle	Read Replies (1) of 99280

The vix or the previous volatility measure used 20+ years ago, I can't recall the name, has always been low after a recession. . The problem is that it is not really a solid measure of actual volatility. If for example, the nas opened down 100 on Monday but then rallied to up 1000, the vix or vxn would probably be down for the day. IMVHO, it may well turn out that the vix dropping in the face of a 20% nas correction was the best signal we can get. If we are entering a multi year period of low volatility, we are indeed on another bull run. I have now said this about 30x since the bottom so I will back off now. Scouts honor.

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