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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 214.87-0.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: minnow68 who wrote (72993)3/2/2002 9:17:16 PM
From: niceguy767Read Replies (1) of 275872
 
minnow68:

"Now Elmer, before you protest that you know what you are doing and this can't happen to you, I concede that you are that one person in a million who, while staying on the wrong side of Black Scholes, still manages a long term profit from option activity. I have no doubt you will be richer than Gates eventually. I'm just trying to keep the rest of the thread from joining the 99% of people who try their hand at options and lose money at it."

Great post...I've been trading options (and stocks, but I like the option action)for 20+ years during which I have seen many, many Elmer's come and go...They all have spouted off about their failsafe systems until they lose bigtime and many have never been heard of again...Some even, without provocation, chided others for losing...It is my experience that there are a handful of fundamental rules that if applied rigourously can provide a reasonably handsome return over the longer term...One of those rules is that no one strategy is a guranteed winner...Another is that options are a statistical game with winning strings and losing strings and the key is to protect a portion of winnings to offset that inevitable string of losses that will occur...For example, I rolled a fair percentage of my January '01 profits into long term calls (Jan '02 calls) and lost the remainder of those January profits riding the short term Jan and Feb potential call wave...Now I'll sit tight 'til AMD trades outside the $10 to $20 range at which time I'll probably dip into capital and increase my call option risk exposure which is currently zero as I hold only Jan $20 '03calls purchased with profits!!!
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