Copper Rises on Expectations That Recovery Will Boost Demand
New York, March 4 (Bloomberg) -- Copper rose to a two-week high, gaining for the third time in four sessions, on signs the U.S. is emerging from a recession that curbed industrial demand for metals. Reports showing the first growth in U.S. manufacturing in 19 months and increases in consumer spending, personal income and construction point to an economic rebound. Copper prices have risen 23 percent from a 14-year low in November on expectations that the U.S. will help lead a global economic recovery. ``The general sentiment is that world economies have seen a bottom, and that's going to mean more demand for copper,'' said Tony Nappi, a copper trader at Triland USA Inc. in New York. Copper for May delivery rose 0.9 cent, or 1.2 percent, to 74.15 cents a pound on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest closing price for a most-active contract since Feb. 14. Prices still were 10 percent lower than a year earlier. In London, copper for delivery in three months rose $17, or 1.1 percent, to $1,609 a metric ton (72.98 cents a pound) on the London Metal Exchange. U.S. factory orders probably rose 1.5 percent in January, gaining for the third time in four months, according to a survey of 45 economists by Bloomberg News. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release its monthly report on factory orders on Wednesday.
Copper Inventories
Increased industrial demand for copper wire and pipes is needed to erode copper inventories monitored by the London exchange, which have almost tripled in the past year. ``What we really need to see now is users restocking,'' Nappi said. ``Right now, they're just buying as they need.'' Supplies of copper in exchange-monitored warehouses fell by 550 metric tons, or 0.1 percent, to 910,050 tons in today's inventory report, declining from a record level on Friday. Contributing to prospects for further manufacturing growth in the U.S. was the erosion of factory product inventories during the recession, economists said. Inventories fell 0.6 percent in December, declining for an 11th month, according to Commerce Department figures. ``What we have seen is the largest liquidation of inventories in any recession'' since World War II, said Paul Kasriel, chief economist at Northern Trust Securities in Chicago. ``There's not much left on the shelves to fill orders with, so you're going to have to see increases in production, and that's going to lead to increased demand for copper.'' Copper prices were buoyed during the recession by strong demand from builders, the largest users of the metal. Construction starts on houses in the U.S. in January were running at the highest level in almost two years, the Commerce Department said in a Feb. 19 report. An average single-family home contains about 400 pounds of copper, according to the Copper Development Association, a New York-based industry group.
--Claudia Carpenter in the New York newsroom (212) 318-2346 or at ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net with reporting by Siobhan Hughes and Alex Tanzi in Washington. Editor: Bixby |