Long live the Hurricane! 3years+?.
Ethernet Lives -- Like a cat with nine lives, Ethernet survives despite networking turmoil.
July 8, 1997
Ethernet proponents take heart: The Ethernet dynasty is secure both in network backbones and LAN desktop connections, according to the 1997 CommunicationsWeek Managers Survey.
Based on our findings, Ethernet still dominates the LAN market. About 63 percent of respondents said Ethernet is the primary LAN architecture in their organization, and 54 percent said it is the primary network backbone technology.
Three years from now, however, a shift is expected. Ethernet's dominance is expected to drop dramatically as it is replaced by-guess what?- its progeny, Fast Ethernet. Ethernet will continue to provide the infrastructure for 37 percent of LAN architectures and 29 percent of backbones, but Fast Ethernet will take up the slack, shooting up to 31 percent of LAN architectures and 30 percent of backbones. Gigabit Ethernet was not listed as an option in the survey, although it will be standardized next year.
It's also becoming cheaper and easier to make the shift from 10-megabit-per- second Ethernet to 100-Mbps Fast Ethernet. Network interface cards supporting both speeds are about the same price as 10-Mbps-only cards, 10/100-Mbps hubs are available at about $100 per port, and 10/100-Mbps switches are only $250 per port, says John Armstrong, director and principal analyst at Dataquest Inc., San Jose, Calif. "It's really a no-brainer."
Even companies that run token ring in their networks are considering using Fast Ethernet as a backbone transport. Token ring is slowly declining in respondents' networks, dropping from 14 percent to 11 percent of primary LAN architectures in the next three years.
Backbone Champ
Fast Ethernet also makes more sense than FDDI, the traditional backbone technology for token ring users, says Eric Ferguson, senior LAN manager at Maryland Casualty, Baltimore. The insurance company is weighing Fast Ethernet for possible use next year because it is more cost-effective than FDDI.
Even so, current FDDI users are loyal. In fact, over the next three years, the 10 percent of backbones based on FDDI will remain constant, according to the survey. In some cases, users will keep their FDDI in place and add other technologies. For instance, the University of Miami will add ATM to its FDDI network, providing gateways between the two, says Peter Evans, senior research associate and director of computing at the university's Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.
ATM proponents should take note that Fast Ethernet also beat out ATM in the backbone. ATM is generally regarded as a strategic backbone technology because it makes sense to connect it directly to the carrier ATM networks, says Skip MacAskill, senior analyst at the Gartner Group, Stamford, Conn. The picture will shift a little in three years. That's when about 13 percent of respondents said ATM would be their primary backbone technology.
As a desktop technology, planned adoption of Fast Ethernet was much greater than switched Ethernet, indicating that 100 Mbps of bandwidth shared among workstations would take root faster than 10 Mbps dedicated to each workstation.
Compare the prices sometime with performance:
Hurricane/155 Features: ATM speed of 155Mbps Uses standard 4 pair wire and RJ45 connectors 3 times faster than FAST Ethernet 50% faster than FDDI Software systems include Novell, Microsoft's WFWG & NT 2 to 3 times faster than ATM and LAN Emulation software Connects to carrier supplied ATM services and enterprise ATM switches at the correct speed Based on today's LAN standards LAN Emulation implemented in HARDWARE Cards implement Adapter and internal HUB features in one No external HUB required on systems up to 16 Nodes Complete family ISA - EISA - VESA - PCI ****Priced below all 100Mbps and 155Mbps LAN**** Besides, a hurrican gets everyone's attention sooner or later. |