MARKET TALK: Dollar Gets A Boost On Yen
13 Mar 15:47
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 3:46 (Dow Jones) USD took back some more ground from the JPY Wednesday, but weaker-than-expected retail sales helped to cap gains against its other counterparts. GE deal failed to give much a boost to the dollar, at the same time retail sales didn't seem to knock too much wind out of its sails. EUR/USD - yet again - failed to sustain the break above $0.8760, while Y129.65 proved too tough a nut for USD/JPY to crack. USD/JPY 129.46, EUR/USD $0.8755, GBP/USD 1.4148. (GMM) 3:32 (Dow Jones) Principal Financial Group (PFG) expects to post a net realized capital gain of $183.1 million in the first quarter following the sale of its stake in Coventry Health Care (CVH). Principal said on Feb. 1 it sold its holdings of 15.1 million shares and a warrant exercisable for about 3.1 million shares of Coventry common stock. Total estimated proceeds from the transaction are $325.2 million. (DH) 3:13 (Dow Jones) Prudential's Mike Mayo points out that Citigroup's (C) 10-K includes a new warning about asbestos-related losses. "During the last few months of 2001 and continuing into 2002, the asbestos-related trends...have both accelerated and become more visible," the filing says. "In addition, these claims and the related litigation could result in liability exceeding these (asbestos) reserves by an amount that could be material to our operating results in future periods." Mayo notes that asbestos-related losses at Citi's insurance unit will continue to impact the company even after the spinoff. C off 2.7% at $47.97. (TG) 2:55 (Dow Jones) Using Office of Management and Budget instead of Congressional Budget Office budget numbers reduces the projected fiscal 2003 deficit under a Republican budget plan by $40 billion, said Dan Kowalski, budget director for the House Budget Committee. CBO figures, he said, would have shown an $80 billion deficit rather than one for $46 billion. (MHA) 2:39 (Dow Jones) Omega Advisors' Mark Brennan, a portfolio manager at the hedge fund, said if you know him for five minutes, you know his favorite stock is New York Community Bancorp (NYCB), a $9.2 billion-asset thrift based in Flushing, N.Y., pointing to its stellar credit performance. Brennan, speaking from the Financial Services Analysts Association's conference at Manhattan's Plaza hotel, said he also liked White Mountain Insurance Group (WTM), a New Hampshire-based insurance concern. (TAS) 2:22 (Dow Jones) Following Goldman Sachs' cautious comments on Microsoft (MSFT) Tuesday, SG Cowen warns that some Street estimates for the software giant's FY03 might have to be reduced. SG Cowen predicts FY03 EPS of $2.00.
First Call says the current EPS consensus is $2.03 with forecasts ranging from $1.85 to $2.18. Thomas Weisel, which projects FY03 EPS of $2.04, says management will provide a "glimpse" into FY03 at the 3Q earnings conference call slated for April. MSFT off 0.4% at $62.31. (MLP) 2:10 (Dow Jones) Stocks act poorly, and a comeback this afternoon may be too much for the bulls to ask for. Only a dozen or so groups are moving up - none significantly - while mining, semis, paper products, communications tech, and wireless are leading slumpers. The softness is blue chips is somewhat understandable - they've had a nice run - but tech is showing little sign of life. DJIA off 128 at 10504, Nasdaq Comp falls 33 to 183, and S&P 500 sheds 11 to 1154. SOX drops 4.3%, and Intel is off 5.4%, the worst performer on the DJIA. (TG) 1:56 (Dow Jones) Economic activity is "beginning to firm," says Fed chief Greenspan, in a speech that's mostly about social security. This economic assessment is similar to the one he gave almost a week ago. (MSD) 1:45 (Dow Jones) On Tuesday, advancing issues on the NYSE hit 1539, while decliners totaled 1616.Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder's John Roque says it was the first session since Feb. 21 that decliners topped advancers, and the prior 12 days in a row of advancing stocks topping declining stocks was a string of unprecedented consecutive wins going back to mid-July 1992. "So we figure that the likelihood of the recent advance continuing unabated is unlikely," he says.
(TG) 1:31 (Dow Jones) Read his lips on e-mail. A fairly common e-mail hoax came up at a press briefing with the Senate Majority Leader Wednesday when a media editor fell for the phony e-mail that claims Congress is set to tax e-mail traffic. Leader Daschle, D-S.D., waded boldly into the issue, stating between laughter: "There isn't a chance ever that you will tax e-mail messages - ever, ever. Read my lips." (MHA) 1:17 (Dow Jones) A mid-session options snapshot: Defensive puts trading a lot more busily with today's stock slide than during any of the pullbacks this month; maybe caution is returning after a long spell of bullishness. At the CBOE, the ratio of equity puts traded to calls rose to 0.72 - higher than anytime so far this month, which had mostly seen readings between 0.47 and 0.55. The put/call ratio for index options also is up to 1.64, compared with 1.32 Tuesday and 0.90 Monday. (KT) 1:01 (Dow Jones) Outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas says college grads should be given cell phones, gift certificates for pre-interview manicures and hair cuts, shoe-polishing kits and joke books, to make it through the tough process of finding that first job. (MSD) 12:43 (Dow Jones) Latest IT spending survey from Goldman Sachs shows the belt tightening continues during the first two months of the year, though to a limited extent. While IT managers have extensive wish lists, a robust spending rebound, even in the second half, seems increasingly unlikely, the firm says.
(TG) 12:30 (Dow Jones) Lehman expects total and core PPI figures, to be released Friday, to rise 0.1% in February. Predicts that industrial production index will rise for first time since July, creeping 0.2% higher in February. Capacity utilization rate likely higher, to 74.4% from 74.2%, well below 82% figure usually associated with inflation pressures. Believes that consumer sentiment index will move higher in early March, to 92.0 from 90.7 in Feb. (MCG) 12:18 (Dow Jones) After getting the lowdown from 99 slot floor managers, Goldman Sachs analyst Steven Kent concluded that a bullish case for slot machines makers can still be made. Shares of International Game Technology (IGT) and Alliance Gaming (ALLY) should continue to outperform as the replacement cycle for machines on casino floors continues to accelerate and cashless gaming continues to gain penetration. (DDO) 12:08 (Dow Jones) GE Capital's massive $11B bond issuance certainly throws water on the argument that the Enron (ENRNQ) effect has dampened interest across-the-board in corporate bonds. Deal was reportedly largest ever triple-A issuance by U.S. company and given that it saw $16.5B in total interest, suggests demand for good quality corporate debt is as healthy as ever. This all bodes well for the USD, particularly as M&A flows to U.S. have tanked. (GMM) 11:54 (Dow Jones) About 10.8 million stock options that Monsanto (MON) issued to employees and directors through March 2001 that have an exercise price averaging $20.38 a share can be exercised beginning Friday. Between October 2000 and March 2001, the company issued to employees and directors about 22.7 million options through one-time "founders' grants" in connection with its IPO and other option programs. Fifty percent of the options vest Friday, while the rest vest mainly on March 15, 2003, the filing said. Monsanto options issued as "founders' grants" have an exercise price of $20. MON up 1.3% at $31.68. (CS) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-13-02 03:47 PM |