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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: tradermike_1999 who wrote (16768)3/13/2002 7:34:41 PM
From: westpacific  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
"Dear Richard,
If you look at the Treasury Yield curve, inflation not deflation, seems to be the market's next enemy. Greenspan has bet the shop on beating the recession and is now caught between tightening and stalling the
recovery -- and risking inflation from the frantic monetary expansion.

"While there is a lag of 18-24 months before the price effects feed through, unfortunately for Greenspan, the debt markets will adjust yields immediately, squeezing profit margins and creating debt servicing problems for the over-leveraged. Debt quality suddenly got worse and stock markets hate inflation because at the outset, costs lead prices.

Maurice Newman
Office of Mr. Maurice Newman
Chairman, Australian Stock Exchange"
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