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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace
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To: AllansAlias who wrote (34226)3/13/2002 11:51:12 PM
From: donk1948  Read Replies (1) of 209892
 
I believe that bull markets are as volatile as bear markets. The VIX, VIXN, and QQV are implied volatilities that only manifest themselves strongly during the fear part of the greed vs fear struggle. Les Horowitz posted a few charts from Ivolatility.com a few days ago. Look at
ivolatility.com
Notice that implied volatity lags historical volatility when stock prices are rising (April to May of last year.) When fear surfaces, implied volatility seems to rise to extremes that the real volatilities don't match (Sept.)

But on a less technical level, I wonder if the normal state of the stock market is the "jello" lack of volatility that emerges when shoeshine boys aren't giving stock tips to their customers, when most of the players are the hard core buy-and-hold investors and savvy traders. The market becomes distorted when everyone wants to buy stocks.

Have been reading your posts for a couple of years. Have learned a lot from watching you.

Thanks
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