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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: KyrosL who wrote (21488)	3/15/2002 11:48:18 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (2) of 281500

Without Turkey's help, a proxy war via the Kurds is not feasible What Turkey says in public may not resemble its internal calculations, nor does it mean they will refuse help when it comes to the point. Bear in mind, the US has not yet committed itself to its Iraq strategy. Until it does, in the most unequivocal manner, what do you expect Iraq's neighbors to say? Go ahead, invade Iraq, it's a great idea? What happens to them if we then decide not to do it, leaving them next to a still powerful and aggrieved Saddam Hussein? I don't know what they are really saying in private. But it's not reasonable to expect pro-invasion pronouncements in public, even if they agreed with us about the threat from Iraq. As for solving the Israeli/Pal conflict first, everybody knows that's not going to happen. Clinton expended tremendous efforts to do it, got the Pals the kind of compromise deal the brahmins at State had always been arguing for, and it was all wasted effort. Our friends the Saudis and Egyptians did everything in their power to sabotage the deal. I don't think that Bush really intends to be sucked back into that vortex. I just wish he showed more backbone in public.

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