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Technology Stocks : Simple Technology - STEC
STEC 1.590+65.6%Dec 23 3:59 PM EST

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To: Rudy who started this subject3/16/2002 12:42:25 PM
From: Rudy   of 36
 
Rechecked the daily chart. Some observations.

I was looking at the following chart:

stockcharts.com[l,a]daolyyay[pb50!b200][vc60 ][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

Monday will be extremenly important day. Right around 7 (maybe as low as to 6.5) is a major support area for two reasons. Previous consolidation of 4 days was there. This creates good support and it is very near (makes it stronger). Also as I repeated several times, the trend channels bottom edge (sorry could not draw lines on the chart) is right around 7 too.

As you can see from 14 day RSI, STEC is not overbought anymore.

Now look at the trend from November to present. In December we have a nice decending triangle followed by a huge run up. These descending triangles act as coils. Compressed the release energy in a burst.

Following that burst comes a cup with a handle. Please pay attention to volume as well. This is textbook stuff. Really I loved this trend. Then comes another breakout in early February. Pullback to test support at 5 and shoot up. Then another descending triangle. What some of us called a "park job" was a coil being compressed. A breakaway gap follows that. Short consolidation and a huge unexpected burst to 9. By now RSI is way overbought. And the pressure gets released. Pullback to 7.

I hope you could follow it. I find it a great example of a long term trend. The only concern I have was the volume today. However as you can see from the previous days around 7 there were a lot of buyers at that level (black volume bars). That is what makes it a great support area.

My honest guess (as good as anyone elses, this thing is like earthquake science, everything is empirical and intuitative, nothing scientific.) is that STEC will hold around 7 and the trend will resume.

Let's see. Good luck.

Rudy.
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