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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 296.20-0.6%Dec 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (2288)3/16/2002 5:37:54 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (2) of 95587
 
I think it's about 60/40 that the group will close down rather than up on Monday Don. I'm presently looking for oversold semiconductor stocks and it is slim pickings. As I look through the charts throughout the semiconductor industry I find very few that are close enough to being oversold to be interesting to me.

In the semiconductor equipment group I see MTSN which closed at 6.11. I would give it a buy rating at around 5 1/2.

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[pb50,200!d20,2][vc60][iUb14!Uk14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

In DVD chips I like ESST which closed at 19 below 18 at around 17 1/2.

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[pb50,200!d20,2][vc60][iUb14!Uk14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

In DRAM I like MU here at 33 but would like it much better at 30.

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[pb50,200!d20,2][vc60][iUb14!Uk14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

If we get enough warnings this week the SOX will fall to the the 50 day moving average at 558 by Tuesday.

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[pb50,200!d20,2][vc60][iUb14!Uk14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

Keep in mind that despite the up move on Friday the last three sessions all are within the large down move shown in Wednesday's candlestick. Friday was simply a bit of consolidation. We have not had enough selling yet to create a substantial move higher before we get into actual earnings in my opinion. Disclaimer: I own none of the stocks discussed in this post and would enjoy hearing from other posters. If the SOX falls far enough I will be buying stocks not discussed in this post at all.

finance.yahoo.com^SOXX+^IXIC&d=t

RtS
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