SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Kevin Rose who wrote (238980)3/17/2002 3:35:30 PM
From: Selectric II  Read Replies (1) of 769670
 
Speaking of suicides, having a gun in the house increases the chance of a suicide by 5x(A).

Flawed studies, flawed results. Took me about a minute to debunk this.

teapot.usask.ca

"Proving" a foregone conclusion...

Kellermann AL, Rivara FP, Somes G, et al. Suicide in the Home in Relationship to Gun Ownership. N Engl J Med. 1992; 327: 467-72.

methodological and conceptual errors:

an "adjustment" to eliminate suicide outside the home for the stated purpose of exaggerating the focus on guns
ignored the vast body of data on suicide method substitution
the authors virtually ignored their own data showing that factors, such as psychotropic medications, drug abuse, living alone, and hospitalization for alcoholism, have much higher correlations with suicide than guns
failed to address the important social and ethical dilemma - how to reduce overall suicide rates
ignored the role of failing health in the suicide of the elderly
In another effort to prove that guns in the home are a significant risk, Kellermann and his co-authors purported to examine certain correlates of suicide. [33] Though the authors' own data showed higher correlations between suicide and psychotropic medications, drug abuse, living alone, and hospitalization for alcoholism, the article focused on guns. [See Graph 9: -- "Kellermann's Suicide Odds Ratios"]

The authors' "adjustment" -- their word -- that eliminated the 30% of suicides outside the victim's home intentionally skewed the data towards their foregone conclusion. The authors candidly acknowledged their bias -- "Our study was restricted to suicides in the victim's home because a previous study has indicated that most suicides committed with guns occur there..." [emphasis added].

As Kleck's review [10] of the broad expanse of American and cross-cultural suicide literature shows, even if guns instantly evaporated from the US, universal access to nearly equally effective and accessible means of suicide -- hanging, auto exhaust, drowning, and leaping -- would likely interfere with an overall reduction in suicide. Evidence of such "method substitution" is extensive. Many cultures that have severe gun restrictions -- Japan, China, USSR, Germany, Luxembourg, Denmark, Belgium, Surinam, Trinidad, Tobago, Hungary, Rumania, Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia, Finland, and Sweden -- have total suicide rates far exceeding the USA suicide rate. Many others -- Canada, Iceland, Bulgaria, Norway, and Australia -- exceed the USA suicide rate though not quite so dramatically. [34] [See Graph 10: "International Suicide Rates Comparisons"]

Guns are often portrayed as uniquely lethal as tools of suicide, yet, amongst tools of suicide, guns are neither uniquely available, uniquely lethal, nor causal of suicide. [10] [See Graph 11: "Suicide Method Lethality"] The authors' preoccupation with guns bypasses the real social dilemma, reducing the total suicide rate. Changing merely the method of death is an inadequate response to a grave social problem. Is suicide from hanging or auto exhaust so much more "politically correct" that research, particularly in these times of financial austerity, should focus on one instrumentality rather than on the common roots and prevention strategies?
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext