Duke,
re: But I think it is a 10 year cycle, not a three year, but fortunately, it was 82 to 92 and 92 to 2002, so it is this year that the total of cpu plus all the other improvements warrant a total upgrade. Personally, that 2.2A with a 533 front side bus with some rdram and some new 3 millisecond seek time drives with some raid configure, is starting to look like the cat's pajamas.
I guess it all comes down to applications, they will drive need. In the early days, when Microsoft didn't make 98% of the software that average folks used, software upgrades begat hardware upgrades. I remember wanting the new Harvard Graphics software, the thing was 20 meg, my hard drive was 30. Things seemed to be slowing on the demand side of things, with each year. I often wonder if the Microsoft monopoly is helping or hurting the industry (that from a MSFT shareholder).
But I do believe there is an upgrade cycle around the corner, it's just that the reasons to upgrade are not as compelling as they used to be.
John |