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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 262.92+0.4%Dec 29 3:59 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (62161)3/18/2002 8:11:09 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
Gottfried, That is a great list! I had to make a "hard copy" of it so I can refer to it from time to time at a moments notice. The list makes it so easy to catalog the different bear species met during each day.<gg>

<<Seriously: it is worrisome that the generally accepted wisdom calling for improvement in everything 2H02 is generally accepted. That means it's priced in. So, something entirely different may happen?>>

I think a lot of the anticipated improvement is priced in, but not all. However, as to what is actually going to happen - and when, I don't know.

As I read some of the posts from the different threads recently, I still sense a lot of "bearishness" out there. As long as that continues, the upward bias in stock prices recently should continue I think.

Tomorrow, if SEMI releases the BtB as previously scheduled, the impact of the number could be substantial in either direction if it is out of line with expectations. For me, I just want to see a nice increase in bookings, but I think it may take one more month for that to happen. I will continue to wait with "bated breath" until we find out for sure what the number is tomorrow.

Don
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