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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 301.11+6.9%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: Sam Citron who wrote (62251)3/22/2002 5:35:51 PM
From: FR1  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
IMHO, Discussing the world 30 and 60 years away from now and basing your investment decisions on that picture is not a good idea.

I remember looking at drawings done in 1920 of travel in 1950.

It's all monster blimps with wooden decks the size of 5 football fields.

Their problem was in taking todays technology and simply multiplying it.

Notice how Chenming Hu dismisses the whole field of nanotechnology in a single sentence as insignificant? The guys in that field don't agree. There are all kinds of other fields, just being looked at, for possible growth including chips with organic sensors, etc. Also the age of robots has not yet arrived but is clearly coming sometime.

Personally, I don't look more than a few years away. If major new technologies come along and AMAT refuses to investigate, then I get worried.
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