russ,
El Nino is going to effect our weather this year. As a matter of fact, it's predicted onset was one factor in my winter forecast this year, as that onset over Dec-Feb along with other factors from corollary years indicated a late spring and protracted cold end to winter.
BTW, the NAO, as iso mentioned, is currently negative, and is forecast to turn positive over next week, probably late in the week. Negative = cold for the eastern US.
Throwing some interesting curves into the weather next week is a Mongolian Dust Storm which will likely increase our fine particulate count in a few days. Some interesting pictures and an article from the US embassy in China about this latest Dust Bowl follow (cancel the request for Chinese translation and it will load in English):
usembassy-china.org.cn
Unfortunately my weather system failed when it came to Jan/Feb, so I am not going to make any forecasts until I have it repaired to a more reliable status, which will take some time. I will note as a probability, not a forecast, that the spring shoulder season may be shorter than normal this year.
Best Regards,
Roebear |
