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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (43611)3/24/2002 10:44:33 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (3) of 99280
 
Summer Massacre catalysts

Care to add to or subtract from this list or order them in importance?

rising interest rates
consumer spending finally tanks (double dip recession starts)
the mushrooming debt
trade wars
increase in commodity/energy prices
lack of strong rebound in earnings
slowing housing
Fear of war

November rebound catalysts(these seem harder, any additions?)
fear of war subsides when war actually breaks out
plain old fashioned bear market rally
realization that bottom is finally in

How is this scenario?
May June massacre
July August rally (but not as strong as Nov rally)
September October retest
November huge rally

M
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