Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: pezz who wrote (17321)	3/25/2002 7:47:37 PM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Hi, Jay. Been lurking this thread for the most part. I'm uninspired from a financial standpoint. I suppose the international situation has me concerned more than anything. Injects a lot of chaos into things. How will the stock market and markets in general react when the US, as I'm convinced, takes on Saddam? I suppose the answer to that question is: It depends on how successful the gambit is. So, how do we determine the merits of such an adventure in advance? Let's brainstorm the problem. 1.- We can anticipate worldwide terrorism against US interests as the battle will not be fought solely in Iraq. How serious? Who knows, but I suspect that it will hurt. 2.- The US will be initially successful militarily but will have to deal with Saddam's WMDs, which now include such nice little bugs as anthrax and a nastier bug, aflatoxin, which causes liver cancer in a few years. Saddam's use of WMDs will be his downfall, but he will see himself as having no choice but to use them. Effect on stock market: Horrible. 3.- Quite possible that Saddam will explode an atomic bomb or a dirty nuclear bomb in Israel. Effect on stock market: Horrible. All in all, we're figuratively and literally headed for a big KABOOM, except that the KABOOM is not the kind which this thread discusses. It is the real thing.

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