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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs
SPY 660.19-0.8%Nov 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (36549)3/26/2002 5:52:10 AM
From: Lachesis Atropos  Read Replies (1) of 68098
 
Hi Harry, I was thinking that we would get a nice bounce in April like we had last year. But now I am not counting on it. In light of the negative aspect of pro-forma earnings, earnings will pale in comparison to the past. The street is looking for earnings based on GAAP, which will be conservative. If companies paint a rosy earnings picture skeptics will raise questions. Questioning earnings spooks the market. This earnings season will be a non event at best.

Another point to consider is employees of the companies that filed chapter 11 are being required to move their 401K's. This money is moving out of the funds and out of the market. This is contributing to the light volume.

IT job market is very weak in the US -- weaker than any time in the past. I used to get emailed 45 posting a day at one time. I have not had one posting in the last three weeks. It has never been this slow.

While the media is out flying the economic recovery kite - there is not wind to take it up.

Lawrence
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