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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (22273)3/26/2002 6:04:47 PM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (3) of 281500
 
You haven't read about these movements because they aren't happening. When they do, they will be reported. We're talking about a force of at least 250,000, with a large armor component, the largest deployment since Desert Storm. Armored divisions don't move by air, and they don't sneak into town in the dead of night. When the move starts it will take weeks, and we will all know about it.

The deployment cannot begin until the basing issue is ironed out. You can't move an army if you have no place to move it to.

I would assume that the scenario will be similar to that of Desert Storm, with air forces initiating the attack and sustaining it during the time it takes to build up ground forces. Even that will be preceded by deployment of carriers and air units, which will be reported. The deployment will have to be very considerable. One of the larger problems confronting US planners will be the location and status of the remaining Taleban troops in Afghanistan. It is entirely possible that these units are lying low, many in neighboring countries, and biding their time until some US forces and their air cover are called off to Iraq. This would be their cue to re-infiltrate and step up the pressure, forcing a two-front war.
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