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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Dayuhan who wrote (22289)3/27/2002 1:28:10 PM
From: tekboy  Read Replies (3) of 281500
 
You haven't read about these movements because they aren't happening. When they do, they will be reported.

agreed on both points. and quite frankly, there might well be some credible inside gossip as a leading indicator as well.

Although there's a loud drumbeat of media speculation, however, to my knowledge there still has not been any authoritative decision inside the administration about whether, when, and how to attack Iraq. (Please, no comments about how the "whether" is no longer in question, because without specifics on the "when" and "how," all the "whether" talk is just verbiage.) A while ago, I gave one guy 5-1 odds that there would be no attack before the end of April, and am confident it's taking candy from a baby--and would be even if the deadline were some months later. (For the time being, on this issue selling calls is a better strategy than buying them.)

That said, this area bears serious watching, obviously, and things could change.

tb@canusethemoney.com
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