Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)

QCOM 176.74

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10:41 AM EST

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To: Robin Plunder who wrote (116066)	3/27/2002 1:43:13 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) of 152472

got your 1929 facts a little confused in 1929 the Federal Reserve tightened heavily they responded to other New Economy based on automobiles they didnt ease on rates for 4 years !!! in 1999 Fed tightened heavily they kept the tight rates for way too long evidence was an inverted yield curve all autumn 2000 long the Fed should have begun to ease in Oct2000 they didnt in January they panicked with rapid cuts you mislabel the current situation BUSINESS CYCLE recession is characterized by higher price inflation, higher interest rates, and shortages of goods STRUCTURAL CYCLE recession is characterized by price deflation, falling interest rates, excess debts (public and private), excess capital equipment, excess goods this is a STRUCTURAL correction, a part of a larger cycle which contains several business cycle corrections within it that is why lower rates are not prompting the stock market indexes higher that is why the recovery didnt happen in 2ndHalf 2001 lower rates only encourage now instead, we will have a weak recovery, followed by a sharp and long recession / jim

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