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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Ilaine who wrote (17568)3/29/2002 9:20:42 PM
From: Jim Fleming  Read Replies (3) of 74559
 
"Axis of evil" A giant political faux pas.

If we topple the regime in Iraq I hope we have strong plan in place to fill the ethnic, religious and economic vacuums created. Kurdistan becomes a bigger headache for Turkey and Iran. The Shiite muslims in southern Iraq will want autonomy. Underlying everything is what it is really all about, 15-20% of the world's known oil reserves. We will need someone other than some British junior officer drawing lines in the sand where the Anglo oil company rep points.

We can probably corral enough help from people who don't like Saddam to make it look like we have support. Maybe not. I don't know.

Iran is a different cup of tea. Iran is nation with a large, prosperous and well educated middle class. Iran is the product of an ancient culture and has never been colonized. They have a modern well equipped and superbly trained military. Islam aside, any threat to Iran would provoke a strong patriotic response. There is disagreement in Iran between the religious conservatives and the moderate progressives. There is no threat to the government from internal political upheaval.

Khatami made a speech to the U.N. in December that could have and probably should have been made by Bush. I don't understand our cutting the legs out from under the forces of reason.

North Korea and South Korea are making some effort to begin detente. The area is China's play pen anyway. China is not going to allow any adventures in an area that would invite outside forces an excuse to come in.

We have an obvious foe to contend with in radical fundamental Islam. Let's focus on it and stop making blunders to satisfy some political itch. I do not trust this administration to the right things. We are going to need some big changes. The only way we will get the changes is through a series of disasters. We are headed there fast.

Jim
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