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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Condor who wrote (22666)	3/30/2002 1:38:15 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (2) of 281500

I'm mystified as to the usefullness of this tactic as it appears to be ludicrous on the surface. It seems to achieve nothing. Oh.. I think it makes perfect sense. Arafat would not, or could not, purge the West Bank and Gaza of extremist elements out of fear of his own assassination. Thus, the Israelis are doing it for him, section by section. If we can believe that the PLO could murder a 12 year old boy for good press then the decision to martyr Arafat ( without his permission ) seems entirely plausible Actually, Arafat is probably in the safest position that he's been in for years (as relates to his physical safety). He's effectively under "house arrest" within his own compound. The only way someone could assassinate him would be to get through the IDF forces surrounding the compound. Thus, Arafat only has to fear the Israelis, and the odds are high that the Sharon is unwilling to kill him. But he certainly wants him out of the way, and safe (from his own thugs) while they roust out the extremist elements. And there are reports right now that IDF forces are threatening to storm the compound (capture Arafat and expel him?) I would be very surprised if Arafat dies at Israeli hands. Hawk

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