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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (45196)3/31/2002 10:39:09 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (3) of 99280
 
Zeev, I don't think Iraq will happen. There is no Arab support for it. It is just too touchy right now even for the moderates with the US being so active militarily right now.

Most are having a hard enough time keeping the lid on the popular support for anything anti-American. When we had the coalition before, it was to support one Arab country against the aggression of Iraq.

This time Iraq has attacked no other country, so getting popular support that will be politically necessary for the moderate Arab states is going to be nearly impossible. We also have no allies in Europe behind this. No sane person would try to go this alone.

I do not scare easily, and I will continue to travel extensively in the fall. If the US attacks Iraq, I'm pretty certain everything American will be a target. Everything, and it will not be just from Bin Laden. The entire Arab world will probably react, both here and abroad.

That said, I think the market will have enough things to react to in the absence of a campaign in Iraq.
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