Zeev's Turnips - No Politics Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Murray Grummitt who wrote (45184)	4/1/2002 10:34:39 AM
From: Psycho-Social	Read Replies (1) of 99280

Nasdaq Seasonality: Thanks for the detailed study of the two databases. I've completed my own indicator analysis, and unfortunately things don't look a lot clearer than before I did it. Contrarian sentiment indicators are generally neutral, but the leading indicators are a bit confusing. My conclusion: it's ok to increase my exposure from the present 33%, but the outlook is only mildly positive. There are some suggestions in my leading indicators, particularily 3yr Market Expectations, that we could peak, or end a plateau before the end of this month in the broad Market, where I was thinking of adding to my position. I'll be watching the new data carefully. Nasdaq sentiment data is sparse, but it seems as if the Nasdaq could start to outperform the Dow and the S&P in the weeks ahead. I'm going to buy in the next week probably, but only on weakness. I won't chase a rising Market.

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