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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU)
LU 2.650+0.4%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: Stock Farmer who wrote (19779)4/1/2002 11:16:54 AM
From: David Hansen  Read Replies (1) of 21876
 
John, I agree with you completely. I also think that we will only see recovery among the vendors who can thrive in a flat capex spending environment. That is why a favor Lucent. The restructuring should be getting them to a favorable cost basis to the business. If they show margins in the 20s this quarter and continued top line growth I think you might even believe it too... You comment about non-traditional suppliers is also key. If we see a shift in buying patterns - all bets are off. I think the RBOCs are more risk averse than most so you should see stronger traditional growth and the CSCOs and JNPRs of the world will have a tougher time in this sector until/if capex growth returns.
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