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Gold/Mining/Energy : Barrick Gold (ABX)

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To: nickel61 who wrote (2303)4/2/2002 5:37:10 AM
From: nickel61  Read Replies (1) of 3558
 
The short version of the problem is that it is a game of musical chairs, when the first large hedgers try and cover all the others will follow. That will be the catalyst that drives gold much higher, fired by the market fundamentals we have discussed. Normandy is covering as we speak. There is only a very limited amount of gold that is available to cover with at $304/ounce gold. Which is what led us into the long arguement about what the "real fully loaded cost of bringing new gold to market is" I still argue that it is higher than $350/ounce. Not the incremental cash cost of producing another ounce of gold from an already operating mine the true price of gold needed to double world wide production for the next five to six years to allow the inbalances in the gold market to clear. Think about it. You have only been able to have gold get this low be large central bank sales, what function did gold perform for central banks in the minds of their citizens and why did they use to have it in their reserves. Is that function not missing in Japan and Argentina right today?
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