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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (23226)	4/2/2002 11:11:17 PM
From: Ilaine	Read Replies (2) of 281500

To clarify even further - completely unreasonable people benefit more from mediation than reasonable people. Why? Let's assume two parties, A and B. They both have desires which are more or less mutually exclusive. They both consult with - I'll say their lawyers because I am a lawyer, but I firmly believe the situation would be similar if we were talking about war. Their advisors tell them what the likely range of outcomes is if they proceed to combat. They do a cost-benefit analysis. They decide if the potential benefit is worth the potential cost expended. A rational person (A) determines whether what he/she wants is reasonable, given the cost. The rest of the world (B - still rational, in economic terms) determines whether what he/she/it wants is achievable, regardless of the cost. Thus, even if it is objectively unlikely that you would achieve your goal through ordinary means, the fact that you are willing to dig in your heels is a factor which must be calculated.

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