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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 223.54-2.9%3:59 PM EST
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To: combjelly who wrote (76327)4/3/2002 10:34:49 AM
From: pgerassiRead Replies (1) of 275872
 
Dear Combjelly:

There is no justification for calling AMD's 0.18u process a hybrid process. Do you call Intel's 0.18u process a hybrid process as it uses features smaller than any of AMD for the same things? And do you call Intel's 0.13u a hybrid process as it has features by the same logic of 0.09u?

No, both AMD's and Intel's processes are 0.18u are not hybrid ones, but normal for high speed MPU dies. The Palomino relayout decreased power consumption by optimizing the transistor channels and sizes. This actually increased the die size, but allowed faster operation (IMHO the added features did not significantly add to the die size). The process did not change beyond what normally happens as it is refined. Since 0.25u to 0.18u allowed for 73% to 80% speed increase and Intel has at least 40% gain from 0.18u to 0.13u, AMD should get at least 20 to 30% from 0.18u to bulk 0.13u (1.8GHz up to between 2.13GHZ (2600+) to 2.33GHz (2900+)). IMHO, if they would stay with bulk, they would get ultimately about 50 to 60% (2.67GHz (3500+) to 2.8GHz (3700+)). If SOI gets 20% above these, 0.13u SOI would top out at 3.2GHz to 3.33GHz (4300+ to 4500+). That will be by about the end of 2003. By then, 0.09u transition will start and by that time it will be all Hammer (q4-2003: CH@5000+ (3GHz), CHD@6000+ (3GHz single core dual channel) and SH@9000+ (3GHz dual core and channel)). If any of the latter are correct, P4 Prescott is toast even at its estimated top out speed of 4.5GHz q4-2004. McKinley and its descendents (if any by that time) won't even get to the table.

Pete
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