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Politics : WAR on Terror. Will it engulf the Entire Middle East?
SPY 689.17+0.2%Dec 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: cAPSLOCK who wrote (1976)4/7/2002 9:43:17 AM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) of 32591
 
I don't remember if that has been posted here, sorry if it is a duplicate:

History Isn't on the Palestinians' Side

Arafat's strategy is suicidal in more ways than one.

BY VICTOR DAVIS HANSON
The Wall Street Journal
Tuesday, April 2, 2002

For all the efforts of our contemporary theorists to harness and sometimes refashion history, the facts of the past
belong to no one--and won't go away. Those who conjure it up often discover to their dismay that they themselves
are subject to its brutal laws of truth. The Palestinians are fast learning of history's ironies and unintended reminders,
as they seek to invoke the past to convince Americans of the righteousness of their present plight.
Take the idea of the occupation of Arab lands since 1967, which the Palestinians now cite as a singular historical
grievance that needs immediate rectification through intervention of the U.S. But sadly occupation and partition are
the bastard children of war; and history, rightly or wrongly, is not kind to states that repeatedly attack their
neighbors--and lose.

Ask the millions of poor Germans who had their ancestral lands confiscated by Poland and France--and their country
subsequently partitioned for a half century. Why do the Russians still occupy portions of the old Japanese homeland
decades after the surrender? How is it that the British won't give up Gibraltar long after their successful battles
against the Spanish fleet? And why must the world give far more attention to Palestine than it does to Tibetans, Irish
and Chechens?

The situation on the West Bank is not only commonplace in history's harsh calculus, but prevalent even throughout
the Arab world today. Right next door in Lebanon, Syria controls far more Arab land than does Israel. And if
Palestinians suffer second-class citizenship under Israeli occupation, they are worse off in occupied Lebanon where,
as helots, they are denied basic rights to employment, health care and government services.

Kuwait ethnically cleansed all Palestinians--perhaps a third of a million--just a decade ago. Well after the 1967 Six
Day War, the Jordanians themselves slaughtered thousands. Before the intifada more Palestinians sought work in a
hated Israel than in a beloved Egypt. History suggests that there is more going on in Palestine than the morality of
occupation.

The Palestinians have turned to suicide bombers--terrorists boasting of a new and frightening tactic that cannot be
stopped. But they should recall the kamikazes off Okinawa that brought death, terror and damage to the American
fleet--before prompting horrific responses that put an end to them for good and a lot more besides. In general, the
record of terrorist bombers--whether Irish, Basque or Palestinian--who seek to reclaim "occupied" lands is not
impressive in winning either material concessions or the hearts and minds of the world.

Palestinian spokesmen decry asymmetrical casualty figures, as if history has ever accorded moral capital to any
belligerents that suffered the greater losses in war. Again, ask imperial Japan or Nazi Germany whether the ghosts
of millions of their dead today carry moral weight when their governments once sought war against their neighbors.

Deliberately trying to blow apart civilians will never be seen as the moral equivalent of noncombatants dying as a
result of the street fighting in the West Bank. Afghans accidentally killed by errant bombing in Kandahar are different
from those deliberately incinerated on Sept. 11. Somalis killed in Mogadishu by American peacekeepers--far more
civilians dying there in two days than in two years on the West Bank--are not the same as those murdered by thugs
in jeeps trying to steal food from the starving.

Americans learned in Vietnam and Mogadishu that it is hard to distinguish civilians from soldiers when gunmen do
not always wear uniforms and take potshots from the windows of homes: They are real killers when alive, but
somehow count as "civilians" when dead. The problem is not that the Palestinians are losing more than the Israelis
due to their greater victimhood or morality, but rather that they find themselves losing very badly to a military far
more adept at fighting.

Nor do the Palestinians' cries for justice exist in an historical vacuum. True, the current Arab-Israeli war--at least the
fourth since 1948--is fought over the West Bank; but that is only because the theater of operations has changed
somewhat since the Arab world lost the first three wars to destroy Israel proper. Less than two years ago, Yasser
Arafat was offered almost all of the West Bank and would now be the unquestioned strongman of his own tribal
fiefdom had he taken such a generous Israeli offer. His own scheming and the intifada--not Israeli extremism--brought
back to him his old nemesis, Ariel Sharon.

Again, the problem for the Palestinians is not that Americans are ignorant of the historical complexities of the Middle
East, but that we know them only too well.

Palestinian spokesmen give us moralistic lectures about remaining disinterested as "honest brokers"--even as they
appeal to Arab anti-Semitism and racial solidarity on grounds of national, religious and ethnic empathy. That double
standard puzzles America, because by any such measure we also find affinity in shared values, and so have almost
none with the Palestinians, who, like the entire Arab world, do not embrace real democracy, free speech, open
media and religious diversity.

Nor is it good public relations for illegitimate dictatorships of the Arab League to shake fingers at democracies in
America and Israel on issues of equality and fairness. The problem is not that the Palestinians object to the idea of
displaying preferences per se, but that their own biases and prejudices have so little appeal to Americans.

We are told that the Palestinians have a long memory of, and reverence for, the past--especially the injustice of 50
years of lost homelands. But Americans are not ahistorical. We remember Sept. 11, and the Palestinians who
cheered our dead before being admonished by a terrified Arafat.

For the past three decades Palestinian terrorists and their sponsoring brotherhoods have murdered Americans
abroad. Palestinians embraced Saddam Hussein's cause and clapped as Scuds plunged into Tel Aviv and blew apart
American soldiers in Saudi Arabia. An entrapped Arafat now calls for American succor, but a few months ago
scoffed that the U.S. was irrelevant as far as he was concerned. The problem, again, is not that Americans have
forgotten Palestinian acts, but that we remember them all too well.

The Arab world warns of its martial prowess and deadly anger--as American flags burn, threats to kill us are issued,
and "the street" shakes its collective fist. But we Americans remember 1967, when we gave almost no weapons to
the Israelis--but the Russians supplied lots of sophisticated arms to the Arabs. In the Six Day War, the state radio
networks of Syria, Egypt and Jordan boasted to the world that their triumphant militaries were nearing Tel Aviv even
as their frightened elites pondered abandoning Damascus, Cairo and Amman. And we recall the vaunted Egyptian air
force in 1967, the invincible Syrian jets over Lebanon, the Mother of All Battles--and the Republican Guard that
proved about as fearsome as Xerxes' Immortals at Thermopylae.

A beleaguered Arafat now wildly works his Rolodex for support for his autocracy. But history answers cruelly that
strongmen in their bunkers are as impotent as they are loquacious--and as likely to receive disdain as pity.
Moammar Gadhafi was a different man after the American air strike proved his military worthless and his person no
longer sacrosanct. The rhetoric of the Taliban in September promised death; in October they and their minions went
silent. In wars against bombers and terrorists, the past teaches us that peace comes first through their defeat--not
out of negotiations among supposedly well-meaning equals.

We all would prefer, and should strive for, peaceful relations with the Egyptians, the Jordanians, the Syrians--and all
the other 20-something dictatorships, theocracies, and monarchies of the Middle East--as well as a state for the
Palestinians. But the day is growing late; our patience is now exhausted; and sadly an hour of reckoning is nearing
for all us all. The problem is, you see, that we know their history far better than they do.

Mr. Hanson, a military historian, is author most recently of "Carnage and Culture" (Doubleday, 2002).
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