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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 36.16-0.5%9:30 AM EST

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To: kapkan4u who wrote (163698)4/8/2002 8:02:09 PM
From: Jim McMannis  Read Replies (3) of 186894
 
When the market crashed in 1929 it took until 1951 for the market to regain former levels. 22 years....
I wonder how long it will take the NASDAQ to make 5100 again.

One big factor I see this year is that domestic mutual funds did not throw off much in the way of capital gains like they did in previous years. This translates into a big loss of revenue to the Feds. Throw in a lot of capital losses to counter any gains plus lost tax revenue from the Real Estate tax break of a few years ago and Bush spending like crazy on the middle east and it looks like a disasterous revenue shortfall for the federal government this year and for the next few as well.

A Japan-like scenario where assets depreciate in the face of low interest rates looks like a likely scenario.
If interest rates do rise that would look even worse. This could happen if the Feds must shove a ton of bond paper on the market and have to pay high interest rates to get people to buy it.

Jim
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