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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 459.86+0.7%Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: nommedeguerre who wrote (66943)4/9/2002 11:25:20 PM
From: David Howe  Read Replies (1) of 74651
 
Norm,

<< Let's see...36% not upgrading, 38% want to be "shown the way out"... >>

That's your take. My take is the following:

1. 26% are upgrading and going with the new plan that has been offered. No doubt a huge boost to MSFT sales through this inspired upgrade deadline.

2. 36% will wait and upgrade at their own pace (just like they've done the last 15 years), not the pace set by the plan, but they will upgrade. They will pay full price for that upgrade.

3. 38% will look into other options (don't they do this usually anyway?). 90% of these will stick with MSFT products and 1/2 of those will eventually move to the new plan. The other 1/2 will upgrade at their own pace.

To me, this looks like a boost to near term earnings, a boost to long term earnings (from the customers on the plan) and a loss of only a small number of customers.

Sounds like a good move by MSFT.

IMO,
Dave
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