<If it breaks above 10 watch the volume...high vol. will mean its a real break.>
Well, it took more than a year to break 10, but that's exactly what happened on Friday with GUMM closing at 10.09. This stock spent the last 15 months basing, with most of the volume between about 7 and 8.50. The short interest has declined 15 straight months, and now stands at 590,000, its lowest level since May 1997 after reaching an all time high in February 2000 (about 1.5 million). More than 100,000 shares traded in each of the last two trading sessions. While this is small compared to many stocks, it is more than twice GUMM's 30 day average of 42,000. The 30 day average had been hovering around 25,000 shares up until about a week ago.
So what do you do now if you are short?
a) Short more.
b) Hold and hope it's just a fluke, and all the things that Gum Tech said in their last few press releases won't happen.
c) Cover.
I never believed that Picovir would be a serious threat to Zicam, but Mark made an issue out of it in Message 16803293. After the FDA Advisory Panel voted unanimously 15 to 0 to not recommend Picovir for approval, it's no longer an issue unless Viropharma gets a miracle.
One more walk down memory lane in Message 15422380
<It also looks like they are winding down on Zicam as the next great thing and preparing to move on to the Nicotine gum as the product that will bring us to the brave new world.>
Gum Tech said in several recent press releases that they are expanding distribution channels, including international, for the two Zicam products on the market, and plan to introduce product line extensions. Winding down doesn't accurately describe this. |
