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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: wooden ships who wrote (835)7/10/1997 5:35:00 PM
From: Alan Whirlwind   of 42834
 
Truman,
On this issue of an eventual Brinker sell signal, somehow I'm missing something. From the tone and direction of this debate, I'm led to consider as conceivable the following:

A. The sell signal will come with blind fury and without warning. All other financial voices will be mute and there will be no handwriting on the wall (except that which I scribbled on the mahogany panels in your study when I took my exam) to warn investors save the Savant's intrepid voice.
B. The selling, after a brief opportunity for liquidation, will turn cascading with no pause for a dead investor bounce.
C. People getting alerted immediately of the "sell" will still somehow have sufficient notice to alter 401K's, IRA's, annuities, etc.--the many illiquid mainstays of future hopes and dreams--before the selling begins in earnest.
D. Everyone will sell just because Brinker says "Simon says" and no one will hold for the next upturn.
E. The now seemingly possible-in-the-foreseeable-future "sell" might just be a coming Bear market with the potential to be longer and more brutal in nature than anyone cares to contemplate.
F. Fickle Wall Street will turn away from rosy predictions of 10 to 20 to 40 to 60 thousand in the Dow and scare small fries into selling even more (blame them for the downturn why don't we, heh, heh) thus rendering a Bob Brinker sell the end of the Age.
G. Brinker's very act of issuing a sell signal could initiate a sell-off, the end result of which no one can predict.

If none of this is reality why would one or two or ten days be that big of a deal? It hasn't been for all the other recent bears, including the latest NBR Market Monitor who is at this time only 37% in stocks. Does my bewilderment and confusion mean I have to take the exam over again?
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