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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (50597)4/26/2002 3:41:37 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) of 65232
 
jw: Are you on the editorial board at gold-eagle.com..<G>...?

'2004: THE NEXT GREAT DEPRESSION'

gold-eagle.com

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Here's a section that caught my attention...

re: the debt-orgy that created the paper asset bubble:

["All asset bubbles lead to debt-trap dynamics and DEFLATION

Assets wealth is destroyed and all that is left is a gigantic amount of liabilities. The next ten to twenty years will be spent paying back all this debt. As was the case in Japan, when asset prices fall consumption is curtailed as borrowing proves non-existent. Despite any attempt by the central bank to push interest rates lower, the consumer won't borrow and won't spend. As a result, prices fall as demand falls. A viscous cycle begins: the consumer curtails spending to pay down debt and this leads to lower demand for corporate goods and services. Corporations see lower cash flows and default on their existing debt payments, which leads to further job layoffs and a further retrenchment by the consumer. No matter how much the Federal Reserve tries to kick-start the economy it doesn't work. The Fed can create money but can't create demand for it. As was the case in Japan, an asset bubble gone bust creates"]
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