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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: J.T. who wrote (11845)4/29/2002 11:36:03 PM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (3) of 19219
 
Rydex Total Assets Update for Monday, April 29th, 2002:

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Money Market 1.701 BILLION**BULLISH Double Overbought


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Regular Series: (100% Correlation to Index (Nova 150%))

SPX Long - NOVA 220.4 Million**BULLISH Lowest Close Since 2/22/02
SPX Short- URSA 271.9 Million**BULLISH Highest Close Since 2/28/02
NDX Long - OTC 674.6 Million**BULLISH Triple Oversold
New 3 1/2 Year Low

NDX Short- ARKTOS 140.8 Million**BULLISH

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Dynamic Series: (200% correlation to Index)

SPX Long - TITAN 117.6 Million**BULLISH
SPX Short- TEMPEST 160.5 Million**BULLISH
NDX Long - VELOCITY 171.5 Million**BULLISH
NDX Short- VENTURE 186.8 Million**BULLISH
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Sector Funds:

XAU Precious Metals 83.8 Million**BEARISH
XOI Energy 38.8 Million**BULLISH
OSX Energy Services 78.1 Million**BEARISH
BKX Banking 48.5 Million
BTK Biotech 183.2 Million**BULLISH Triple Oversold
Near 3 1/2 Year Low

RUT 2000 - MIKROS 125.2 Million**BULLISH
RLX Retail 28.1 Million**BULLISH Double Oversold
Telecommunications 5.5 Million**BULLISH Oversold


*******************************************

The DOW 'theoretical low' blew thru the bottom of the 21 day 3 1/2% exponential trading band and we are now less than 50 points away from a 'print low' on assaulting this band indicator. At the DOW intraday low today we hit 14.81 on a 5 day RSI - that was after my earlier post when I recorded 16.14 on the DOW. We have reached these extreme RSI low levels only 5 other times in the last 3 years. And in nearly every case the counter trend bounce was violent.

And SPX, COMP, NDX are all at lower levels on a 5 day RSI reading.

The counter-trend launch begins no later than Wendesday, May 1st +/- 1 day.

Regular Series: 100% Long NDX OTC
Dynamic Series: 100% SPX Long TITAN

Best Regards, J.T.
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