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Strategies & Market Trends : Investor sentiment surveys - a technical indicator

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To: Q. who wrote (89)7/11/1997 12:59:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins   of 167
 
John; Here is some YHOO data,
date shrt premo change %up/dn dly vol % dly
9604 YHOO 700 0 700 10291631 0.01%
9605 YHOO 715812 700 715112 102158.86% 475994 150.38%
9606 YHOO 593368 715812 -122444 -17.11% 122820 483.12%
9607 YHOO 547172 593368 -46196 -7.79% 113855 480.59%
9608 YHOO 560474 547172 13302 2.43% 76554 732.13%
9609 YHOO 557305 560474 -3169 -0.57% 53936 1033.27%
9610 YHOO 549916 557305 -7389 -1.33% 137127 401.03%
9611 YHOO 603506 549916 53590 9.75% 68799 877.20%
9612 YHOO 564991 603506 -38515 -6.38% 128598 439.35%
9701 YHOO 621130 564991 56139 9.94% 259241 239.60%
9702 YHOO 1305703 621130 684573 110.21% 870765 149.95%
9703 YHOO 1528741 1305703 223038 17.08% 388006 394.00%
9704 YHOO 2248355 1528741 719614 47.07% 683780 328.81%
9705 YHOO 2289557 2248355 41202 1.83% 614449 372.62%
9706 YHOO 1956576 2289557 -332981 -14.54% 265071 738.13%
---------------------------------------------
If you could see this graft you would see it flat till 9701..
then a sharp rise peaking at 97-05, with a sharp down turn to 97-06
that down turn would indicate she is about to fall..as a lot
of shorts covered, I would love to see more fall off in the shorts
and her still hanging when the next data comes out ! <G>
This don't work good for the market, and it don't work on every
stock, but when I get comformation it then works very good.
Best guess is she will come back to about 34 in or before
August, if they don't "short her up" If you chart her price,
you will see as the short interest increased..after 97-01
it pushed her up except for a dip in early march, while some
people surely covered in march, others rushed in and shorted,
and the interest actully went up..You can bet there are still a
lot of shorts "traped" from $25 to $35, and heck it may just send
her up more if they start doing "panic buying"..it's a toss up
right now if they all hang solid then that 14% that got out
will let her slide back..dam I'm tempeted I really think these
last spikes were more shorts covering, if thats the case then
she is ready..
Jim
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