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Pastimes : Thoroughbred Horse Racing
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To: J.T. who wrote (200)5/3/2002 4:49:03 PM
From: Nemer  Read Replies (1) of 1269
 
JT ..

my outlook/analysis of all the horses in the Derby ...
applies to WIN bets ONLY
and is subject to change with track condition other than confirmed FAST
other finish positions NOT considered in this post ...

1- Joburg ... factor A
2- Wild Horses ... factor B
3- Perfect Drift ... remains in consideration
4- Lusty Latin ...factor B
5- War Emblem ... remains in consideration
6- Ocean Sound ... factor A
7- Request ... factor A
8- EOD ... factor A
9- M d'Oro ... best one still in consideration
10- scratch ... but factor A had him chunked anyway
11- Private Emblem ... still considering but surely is cheap
12- Castle Gandolfo ... still left on my win list
13- Proud Citizen ... don't know why I left him this long but still here
14- H Holiday ... factor B
15- Came Home ... still on the list, but I'm weakening
16- Saarland ... MY best horse but I'm fearful of the outside hole, even though Shug picked it when 8-9-10-11 were gone ... he had a reason not to pick inside the 8 but I'm still puzzled why he went all the way out to the 16
17- Dan ... still on my win list
18-19-20 ... factor B and I hate the post numbers

that leaves on my list to consider WIN betting ...
3-5-9-11-12-13-15-16-17

* A factor ---- eliminates because of lack of total points on Dosage Index
* B factor ---- eliminates because of Rasie A Native bias in breeding

I'll post some more later this evening ...
as
I simply know the thread is so very much eagerly awaiting my announcement ... hehehehehe
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