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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: mishedlo who wrote (61815)5/4/2002 8:24:55 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
mish, thanks for that clarification on max pain. I am somewhat surprised options are light this month on those 3 big caps. Is it just not seasonal factors...going beyond early year inflows and too early for 2nd quarter earnings.
They have found a way to get QQQ close to the strike for so long...I just wonder if they will find a way this time too. Lots of bearishness in the AAII investor index this weekend..maybe that helps....but I don't want to bet on it.

As for something good out of Cisco...not a chance imho. It is only a matter of guidance expectations right now...are they low enough (I doubt it). The Orcl, Sunw tanked last week, there is no reason Cisco cannot do the same; Orcl actually trades for approximately a forward PE=20 and still could not escape the severe drops. I wonder what that means for the rest of the techs that trade at much higher multiples and are struggling to show any growth.

btw--Have you seen max pain fail in low option volume months?
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