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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics
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To: Rock_nj who wrote (61816)5/4/2002 10:52:51 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
If the Nasdaq Comp were to fall to 966 tomorrow, the
average annual rate of return since the October 1990 low
would be 10.0 percent. A pullback to 1387 would constitute
an average annual return of 13.51 percent. You could try
it with the calculator below.

calcbuilder.com

I find the S&P 500 return calculations probably more
appropriate. Here are the current average annual returns
for levels of the S&P 500:

S&P 500 comment annual return
1073 Friday's close 11.37
940 October's low 10.59
884 10 percent return 10.00
796 9 percent return 9.00
716 8 percent return 8.00

Not a prediction on my part, but considering that the above
returns are carried forward from a major market low, the
annual returns should be considered liberal.
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