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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (28381)5/5/2002 3:43:21 AM
From: tekboy  Read Replies (3) of 281500
 
hard to say. the context for evaluating the announcement is as follows:

1. The administration is deeply split between warring camps at Defense and State.

2. Each is backed by an important constituency (the President's political base and the rest of the world, respectively).

3. Neither one has a particularly good answer to the current Mideast crisis--nor does anyone else, for that matter.

4. The President himself instinctively sides with his hardliners, but is beginning to recognize, I think, that he's out of his depth on this one and that following his hardliners' advice in this area has not been very successful so far.

So, given all that, they're at a loss and searching around for something else to try. It's possible he's giving Powell some leeway to try his hand at things in conjunction with the Saudis. But I doubt there are any major or concrete plans as yet, and I doubt there's any clear sense of how to move forward. My own hunch is that they're still playing this one by ear, and still hoping that somehow it will just go away without forcing them to piss off somebody important (which actually doing something would inevitably require).

tb@novisibility.com
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