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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 282.70+4.4%Nov 24 4:00 PM EST

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To: scott_jiminez who wrote (3030)5/5/2002 11:27:26 AM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (1) of 95464
 
Scott, extrapolation based on history didn't work for SEMI bookings a year ago and it may well be it won't work now, as you suggested. We won't know for a while. Still it's a useful exercise because it can show us when expectations do not come true. Valuations for some semi equip stocks are so high because investors DID extrapolate [incorrectly] in the past 12 months. What do last weeks sellers know that we don't?

Gottfried
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