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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners
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To: 16yearcycle who wrote (11419)5/8/2002 5:09:46 PM
From: 16yearcycle  Read Replies (1) of 57684
 
I don't want to use the % returns for the most part because of time constraints but here is the result:

a sample of 8 because I don't have data on 1987, and the 10th event we don't know about yet

1. At one week, 4 times up and 4 times down, but the down periods were fractional and two of the up periods were substantial

2. At two weeks, 5 up and 3 down. 3 of the up periods were substantial,(April of 01, and May of 00)only one of the down periods was big(12/5/00-1/5/01)

3. At 3 weeks, 6 up and 2 down. 3 of the up periods were from 10-15% higher. Both down periods were down big(12/5/00, and 10/19/00)

4. At 1 month, 5 up and 3 down. 3 of the up were 10-22% up(April 01, May 01, and from 12/22/00 on.) All 3 down were 10-20%.(mid to late Oct 2000, and the early to late Dec period in 2000)
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