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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: John Pitera who wrote (6072)5/9/2002 9:00:50 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (3) of 33421
 
I believe the pieces have been assembled here for a nice spring rally. The market has tired of selling- a great deal of capitulation has occurred. The dollar has corrected, and interest rates have fallen.

Combine these factors with increasing productivity, and you have the makings of future corporate earnings growth. All the market needs now to take off is increasing confidence. The transports held up real well in the recent big cap downturn, and the A/D line is still near new highs.
Comparing, the transports are leading the industrials, which are leading the SPX:
quote.yahoo.com

My read is that phase 2 of the cyclical bull is probably starting here. At the start of phase 2, the A/D line may work temporarily lower, as large caps (OEX) should see some inflows from smaller caps. The new highs will probably peak out eventually here too.

How is the IPO and secondary offering market going? It should be getting back to about normal levels here soon, if it follows past phase 2 patterns.

The media should start to become more positive, as the public transforms from disbelief to belief..

Regards,
TW
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