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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: LTK007 who wrote (65044)5/9/2002 8:07:20 PM
From: 4rthofjuly007  Read Replies (2) of 99280
 
Max, I do not rely on SI for sentiment. Fact is that investor polls are showing bullish/bearish sentiment at levels seen in Sept. Vix is did not confirm a bottom but I think I have said>> is it really practical that trading has become so easy that we can just short the market until a nice easy to read capitulation low is set.

Now, I have been bearish and short since December and held my shorts until just last week. I am still VERY bearish on the fundamentals. But I do see potential for another rally that lasts much longer than most think is possible. I will certainly short this rally as I think that the bear still has 1 or two years to wind down.

As far as the potential rally in an overall bearish market. I see not much of a problem with another rally that exceeds 20% or more from these levels. Look at Japan over the last 10 years.

I would like to see how the mid 1700s are "handled", if we even get there. And I have no problem getting back into rydex venture if it looks like it is time to go short.

I hate to repeat myself but the COT report will be very interesting.
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