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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject5/12/2002 11:48:54 PM
From: llackey   of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366 and Message 17427057

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buf Altman
Ticker Update 5/10 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth Value Z Scr Ind. Name

SRP 2/15 6.36 21.63 28.60 -71% 27.42 39.17 -77% 25.96 34.32 525% -26.83 N/A UTILWEST Sierra Pacific Resources (New)
IVX 4/26 10.82 20.50 46.22 -47% 20.70 54.32 -48% 37.99 85.65 13% 15.21 2.49 DRUG IVAX Corp.
ILA 4/5 16.03 30.29 42.38 -47% 27.06 42.11 -41% 43.76 61.23 48% 12.52 N/A UTILCENT Aquila, Inc.
SY 3/1 12.64 21.40 46.95 -41% N/A N/A N/A 34.70 76.14 204% 25.94 3.10 SOFTWARE Sybase Inc.
BRL 4/26 64.49 103.32 243.12 -38% 83.10 202.39 -22% 136.29 320.71 -19% 86.76 13.29 DRUG Barr Laboratories
TDS 4/5 80 124.99 205.49 -36% N/A N/A N/A 202.58 333.07 3% 59.93 1.74 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
VLO 3/22 42.31 56.65 93.46 -25% 43.78 77.16 -3% 85.43 140.94 -10% 16.10 1.66 OILINTEG Valero Energy
RSAS 3/1 5.89 7.70 27.77 -24% 7.76 29.42 -24% 18.80 67.77 263% 4.47 1.95 SOFTWARE RSA Security Inc.
TSN 5/10 14.19 18.04 27.91 -21% 20.72 33.58 -31% 36.88 57.06 45% 21.47 2.39 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
WEC 4/5 25.11 31.42 40.04 -20% 33.68 45.83 -25% 39.52 50.37 19% -0.89 N/A UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
DRYR 5/10 45.85 56.38 103.96 -19% 73.08 142.09 -37% 103.45 190.72 249% 22.36 6.76 FOODPROC Dreyer's Grand Ice Cream
LNT 4/5 27.72 33.00 41.14 -16% 33.37 43.23 -17% 38.99 48.61 22% 0.00 N/A UTILCENT Alliant Energy
GXP 4/5 23.72 27.96 34.51 -15% 29.35 36.09 -19% 35.14 43.37 25% 40.25 N/A UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
PSD 2/15 20.02 23.14 30.57 -13% 24.31 33.88 -18% 27.25 36.00 338% 27.73 N/A UTILWEST Puget Energy, Inc. (Hldg. Co.)
OHP 3/29 45.6 51.97 122.84 -12% N/A N/A N/A 68.62 162.18 12% 62.61 6.92 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
PZZA 3/15 32.39 36.49 67.49 -11% 30.20 55.08 7% 46.25 85.54 8% 36.67 5.85 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
POM 3/8 22.05 24.52 32.01 -10% 24.06 32.02 -8% 29.98 39.13 23% 32.20 N/A UTILEAST Potomac Electric Power
MYL 4/26 26.78 28.63 54.32 -6% 28.16 56.25 -5% 36.20 68.69 7% 38.46 8.51 DRUG Mylan Laboratories
PAS 5/10 14.98 15.95 22.95 -6% 20.66 32.85 -28% 25.74 37.04 60% 13.42 1.92 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
OCR 4/5 26.76 28.44 56.56 -6% 25.37 51.71 5% 48.44 96.32 39% 29.52 3.02 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
BKS 2/15 33.01 34.22 67.13 -4% 30.07 64.66 10% 59.51 116.75 41% N/A 3.15 RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
SFD 5/10 19.19 19.69 38.69 -3% 15.78 32.68 22% 27.60 54.22 -10% 37.57 3.45 FOODPROC Smithfield Foods
GSB 4/26 32.47 33.26 66.30 -2% 30.50 63.19 6% 46.63 92.96 15% N/A 1.41 THRIFT Golden State Bancorp
ATG 3/22 23.02 23.10 30.69 0% 23.64 32.06 -3% 29.15 38.73 6% 23.26 0.80 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
SCHL 2/22 45.35 42.67 73.58 6% 47.48 91.55 -4% 56.99 98.28 49% 53.67 3.15 PUBLISH Scholastic Corp.
ROL 3/15 20.06 18.17 25.91 10% 35.23 52.10 -43% 28.51 40.65 23% 18.78 5.96 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
DQE 3/8 19.86 17.21 24.36 15% 22.24 33.64 -11% 25.83 36.56 150% 59.93 N/A UTILEAST DQE, Inc.
CDN 3/1 19.7 16.06 38.29 23% 25.38 60.69 -22% 22.76 54.27 29% 25.94 8.38 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
MVSN 5/10 19.75 N/A N/A N/A 26.02 96.74 -24% N/A N/A 29% 14.31 38.78 ENT TECH Macrovision Corp.
ISCA 2/22 41.28 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -8% N/A N/A 29% 36.67 3.12 RECREATE International Speedway

Currently I'm looking at SY and TSN. TSN is good for me from a diversification standpoint, but I think SY is getting sucked down by ORCL.

- Lee
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