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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Clappy who wrote (51422)5/14/2002 10:38:47 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 65232
 
pure consolidation in my view for gold and dollar
had an interesting disagreement with my coin dealer on May1st
he thought by middle of May gold would be over 325
I said no way, and he belittled me slightly
my claim was for consolidation before a tough push thru the critical 315 resistance level which represents the point of death for the Gold Cartel
also, my claim was that the US dollar had fallen so much that a climax shorterm was imminent
and the dollar would also need to consolidate

so it seems gold is gathering forces in uptrend
and dollar is gathering forces in downtrend

the stock market is going thru its annual spring self-deception rally
probably more substance to it this year than last year
Cisco's report was a fraudulent joke
without $2 billion in 2001 writeoffs now showing up as 100% profitmargin sales, they would be languishing

reading that Microsoft accounting fraud story was chilling
Enronitis is all around
item#11 of Golden20 Reasons will be increasingly important

in fairness to my coin broker, he points to midJune as the time when control is lost on gold price, and large scale short covering begins in earnest
we will see
time is on my side

I regard most of this year's stock rallying as superbear counter-trend rally
nothing more
plenty of money to be made on it
but should be dangerous when it peters out in coming months
/ jim
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