VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (51677)	5/18/2002 9:16:46 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (5) of 65232

the last 14 biggest Naz rallies all happened in bear markets all occurred since March2000 85% of top 25 biggest Naz rallies happened in bears 75% of top 50 biggest Naz rallies happened in bears (since 1990) the bigger the rally, the more certain that bear is intact it works counter-intuitively the dynamic behind it is short covering scramble bulls rise very steadily bears descend steadily and jump up sharply the economy is gathering some gusto my conclusion is that we are seeing a nearterm counter-trend rally and a near-term counter-trend economic pickup the rally is from a bear origin the economy is from a recession / jim

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