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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 299.81+2.7%Dec 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: Return to Sender who wrote (3265)5/24/2002 11:23:54 AM
From: Cary Salsberg  Read Replies (1) of 95616
 
On the glass half full side:

The market is testing the recent low. If it holds and we don't go down to last fall's low, then we have strong confirmation that we are in the beginning of a new bull.

We are seeing the semi-equips, the strongest technology sector, being dumped on daily. So far, they are holding up pretty well and company reports are consistent with a recovery. AMAT and, apparently, NVLS are doing exceptionally well, now. In view of the overall slow environment, it should not be too big a problem if they plateau at the recent higher level order rates for a while.

Valuations are still rich, but I don't see a return to last fall's lows.
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